Wikipedia:Modelling Wikipedia's growth/Previous traffic predictions
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Revision as of 16:28, 31 May 2004; view current revision
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This page lists the predictions of Wikipedia's Alexa traffic rating. Remember that lower is better.
Alexa traffic by month, calculated by taking the average ranking for each month and using polynomial curve of best fit.
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Current predictions (5/27/04):
Formula: y = 25921.322x-1.1811674
- Predicted average ranking for the month of January 2005: 528
- Predicted average ranking for the month of June 2005: 432
- Predicted average ranking for the month of January 2010: 133
- Predicted date when Wikipedia will be the #1 site on the web: October 15, 2458
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At 5/1/04:
Formula: y = 25606.832x-1.1722163
- Predicted average ranking for the month of January 2005: 538
- Predicted average ranking for the month of June 2005: 441
- Predicted average ranking for the month of January 2010: 135
- Predicted date when Wikipedia will be the #1 site on the web: August 2484
All data on this page is taken from the Awareness Statistics page.